Of the 22 unresolved races, the GOP candidate currently leads in 12 of them. If all of those Republican leads held, it would add up to a 224-211 split in favor of Democrats, a shift of 11 seats from the start of the previous Congress two years ago.
Out of those dozen Republican leads, some look safe, and some are likely to flip once all the absentee ballots are counted.
- In Alaska, Don Young is extremely likely to return for his 25th term in the House.
- In California, four Republicans lead in a state that is infamous for counting the votes slowly. County election officials have until December 4 to report final results.
- In the Golden state’s eighth district — the largest and least densely populated district in the state –Republican Jay Obernolte leads by about 15,000 votes, with 83 percent of the votes counted. GOP incumbent Paul Cook is retiring.
- In California’s 21st district, Republican David Valadao leads by 4,558 votes over Democratic incumbent T.J. Cox, with 70 percent of precincts reporting, in a rematch of the 2018 race that Cox won, 50.38 percent to 49.62 percent.
- The final two districts in this state feature Korean-American women GOP candidates; either or both would become the first. In California’s 39th district Young Kim leads by 1 percent, in a district she almost won last cycle. In California’s 48th district, Orange County Board of Supervisors Chairwoman Michelle Steel “appears to have an insurmountable lead.” But neither race has been called by local or national media.
